Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 6.108878 6.720126 7.415532 8.277156 9.333746 10.612457 12.319645
2024-12-29 5.364500 6.151490 7.120685 8.442537 10.271986 12.850073 17.074522
2025-01-05 4.783829 5.656431 6.798093 8.482674 11.081498 15.353395 24.319345
2025-01-12 4.221647 5.094186 6.283688 8.140838 11.256692 17.106439 33.029790
2025-01-19 3.757776 4.600705 5.784699 7.713873 11.175607 18.481919 44.855465
2025-01-26 3.608576 4.519676 5.862058 8.211174 12.967313 25.734811 139.465803
2025-02-02 3.586654 4.615547 6.222786 9.310103 16.765794 48.342060 NaN
2025-02-09 3.459824 4.536439 6.289476 9.902697 20.049675 96.826307 NaN
2025-02-16 3.315157 4.410977 6.255478 10.289266 23.343125 291.467017 NaN
2025-02-23 3.159177 4.249527 6.131398 10.443339 26.231334 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 2.943736 3.970786 5.754902 9.893458 25.580540 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.836537 3.862938 5.686202 10.103317 29.174458 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.629064 3.586818 5.295338 9.469276 27.977748 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.518382 3.467941 5.199641 9.623518 32.471336 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.405275 3.335842 5.062107 9.632045 36.672902 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.265694 3.147569 4.790180 9.176429 36.063289 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.131825 2.961447 4.506546 8.631359 33.889039 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.098127 2.949584 4.582029 9.224997 47.348542 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.108338 3.016986 4.837603 10.575236 105.001044 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.073743 2.998722 4.901954 11.309068 248.555575 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.027155 2.953891 4.898654 11.789351 1181.818602 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.971084 2.886687 4.833368 11.977468 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.883695 2.753961 4.595981 11.274393 NaN NaN NaN